2019年7月26日金曜日

Japan's Security policy for the Era of Reiwa

 Thinking of Japan's security policy for the Era of Reiwa which started this May with a new Emperor, we firstly have to review its history since the end of the World War II in 1945.

 During the Cold War between the Soviet Union and the United States, Japan's security policy was built in the framework of the Cold War. Japan concluded the U.S.-Japan security treaty in 1951 (amended in 1960) and became an ally of the United States. Therefore Japan became a member of the Western democratic Club. Japanese land itself is geographically the neighbor of the Soviet Union which was seeking a non-frozen sea in the South. The Japan Archipelago was then the breakwater. So, the Japanese security policy was primarily just to defend itself.  The U.S. was satisfied with its Japan's role and  did not ask more than that.

  But in 1989, the same year of the passing away of Emperor Showa and the beginning of the Era of Heisei, the Berlin Wall which had divided the Western and the Eastern worlds fell down, and the end of the Cold War was proclaimed by President Bush and Chairman Gorbachev in Malta.
 Then the global security situations changed dramatically. In 1990, Iraq invaded Kuwait, and the Iraq War occurred in 1991. The United States attacked Iraq with a coalition group and Japan participated only financially. After the Iraq War ended, the Japanese Self Defense Force was dispatched for the first time oversea for minesweeping. During the Era of Heisei, for 30 years, Japanese SDF participated in so many PKOs all over the world, for the first time in Cambodia in 1992, then in the Golan Heights, in the East Timor, and even in the South Sudan, etc. The Japanese government also dispatched the Maritime Self Defense Force for the anti-piracy operations and the Ground SDF to Iraq for its reconstruction after the War.
 So, during the Era of Heisei, we can say that Japan's security policy expanded so much offshore, while China modernized and enlarged its military power and North Korea developed its missiles and nuclear weapons.

 Then it come the Era of Reiwa, how are we foreseeing the Japan's security policy? Primarily, it should be focused on the stability and the peace of the Indo-Pacific region. The core is certainly the U.S-Japan alliance, but at the same time, Japan will deepen the relationship with other like-minded countries, such as Australia, France, England, India, Canada, etc.  'Reiwa' means a beautiful harmony, so Japan would have a harmonized security policy with these beautiful countries for the peace and prosperity in the Indo-Pacific region.


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         

2019年7月2日火曜日

平成は本当に平和な時代だったのか? .

   令和に入って、既に2か月が過ぎました。少し前の映像ですが、今後の日本の安全保障や憲法論議を考える際にも、参考になりますので、是非、ご覧下さい。
 一般の大手メディアで言われていた、「平成は(災害が多かったけれど)平和で良かった。」と言う歴史の見方を覆す解釈です。1時間すぎから1時間20分くらいまでに「平成は本当に平和な時代だったのか?」というテーマで語っています。
 その根拠は?
1 平成以上に長い期間、昭和の方が平和だった。
2 日本の世界的地位は下がった(GDPの伸び率)。
3 隣国では、GDPの伸び以上に、軍事費が伸びた(軍拡)。
4 北朝鮮がミサイル発射を増加させたのは平成時代。
5 北朝鮮が核実験を行って核開発したのは平成の時代。
6 「戦争」の定義の変化で、テロとの戦い、情報戦、技術戦、法律戦、「貿易戦争」、
心理戦、サイバー戦争、宇宙等、目に見えない「侵略」も含め、多様で複雑な「戦争」の形態。
=>人類の歴史を顧みると、「平和」と思っている時代は、単に「戦争の準備をしている時代」?
そう思うと、安心はしていられないし、平和のノスタルジーも要らない。
重要なのは、平和を維持するには、軍事も外交も含んだ様々な手段による不断の努力が必要だということ。